I'm sure there was such experts weighting on the future of Soviet Russia in 1989.
50 years. How myopic do you have to be to even try to answer that question, especially framed thus? Six years ago, someone trying to predict how the world is today would have been deemed completely crazy.
> Think of AI providing useful, context-specific information to electricians, blue-collar workers, nurses, educators and others,
This prediction is insane. Pong was invented 53 years ago. The Apple II isn't even 50 years old. Nor is Space Invaders.
I'm perennially reminded of the Slate Star Codex quote,
> Madden was an Anglican clergyman in 18th-century Ireland, and maybe the first futurist. In 1733, he published Memoirs of the Twentieth Century, a novel about people in 1999 sending letters back through time to tell their 18th-century predecessors what the future would hold.
> How did the prognosticators of 1733 imagine the future? Was it utopian? Decadent? Miserable? Beautiful? Incomprehensible?
> Actually, it was none of those things. It was exactly like 1733 in every way, and the future people were just writing back to remind everyone how much Catholics sucked.
Because clearly what Acemoglu did was look at current AI systems, noted that they are pretty good at providing contextually relevant information to people, dumped it in the ‘provides contextually relevant information to people’ economic bucket, and then painted a future of _what if that, but slightly more people were involved?_ in the context of their current pet political peeve.
Oh child of summer, you think American capitalism can survive for fifty years?
The auto-canabalism has already begun. It’s only a matter of time before our furiously gnawing teeth hit an artery and we bleed out on the floor.
I'm sure there was such experts weighting on the future of Soviet Russia in 1989.
50 years. How myopic do you have to be to even try to answer that question, especially framed thus? Six years ago, someone trying to predict how the world is today would have been deemed completely crazy.
50 years on is probably post singularity and merging with AI. I imagine things will be more different than the wsj article suggests.
The question is a good one. The responses? Deeply unoriginal, and technocratic.
What if the notion of work and the whole society built around working changes? What if?
Nobody knows what is going to happen tomorrow. Same "experts" didn't think much of Bitcoin years ago, for example.
All predictions are wrong, even this one.
You don't think it's possible to make predictions and those predictions to have a probability level?
https://archive.ph/PMD7n
Play the game CyberPunk 2077 or watch some gameplay if you want a preview of where we’re headed.
> Think of AI providing useful, context-specific information to electricians, blue-collar workers, nurses, educators and others,
This prediction is insane. Pong was invented 53 years ago. The Apple II isn't even 50 years old. Nor is Space Invaders.
I'm perennially reminded of the Slate Star Codex quote,
> Madden was an Anglican clergyman in 18th-century Ireland, and maybe the first futurist. In 1733, he published Memoirs of the Twentieth Century, a novel about people in 1999 sending letters back through time to tell their 18th-century predecessors what the future would hold.
> How did the prognosticators of 1733 imagine the future? Was it utopian? Decadent? Miserable? Beautiful? Incomprehensible?
> Actually, it was none of those things. It was exactly like 1733 in every way, and the future people were just writing back to remind everyone how much Catholics sucked.
https://slatestarcodex.com/2017/10/09/in-favor-of-futurism-b...
Whatever your prediction of the future, let it be less bad than that.
I'm confused about why the quote about AI providing help to people (something is does now) is insane?
What does it have to do with how old video games are?
Because clearly what Acemoglu did was look at current AI systems, noted that they are pretty good at providing contextually relevant information to people, dumped it in the ‘provides contextually relevant information to people’ economic bucket, and then painted a future of _what if that, but slightly more people were involved?_ in the context of their current pet political peeve.
Oh child of summer, you think American capitalism can survive for fifty years? The auto-canabalism has already begun. It’s only a matter of time before our furiously gnawing teeth hit an artery and we bleed out on the floor.
But hey, at least profit is accelerating at the same rate the decay is!