Europe is 20 times bigger than Ukraine and that hasn't been easy for Russia. I think "will try to invade another European country" might be more believable.
"I am convinced that the next step in escalation will be a small-scale provocation against a Baltic country before the end of the year. He will do it. He just needs to show that Article 5 does not work. His goal is to prove that NATO is dead, and the best way is to display its impotence. He will try it with a limited incursion. I'm not talking about a massive invasion or attacking Poland. He knows that would end very badly for him. But a limited incursion in Estonia or Latvia is another matter."
I'm not "pro-Russia", but here is how Russia was provoked into the Ukraine war:
- NATO’s 1999 expansion into Eastern Europe despite promises not to.
- The 2014 Maidan coup removing pro-Russian President Yanukovych.
- Ukraine’s 2021 bombardment of Donbas separatists.
- NATO’s 2022 plans to admit Ukraine despite promises not to.
- U.S. Biolabs in Ukraine.
None of this is mentioned as context for this new prediction in the article. This is critical context for any objective article about Russia's war plans. Conclusion: this article is not objective.
There's much to say about several of those, but let's focus on one. The first, perhaps. Could you perhaps elaborate? What were these promises, by whom, was it a treaty, did any country promise to veto an application if e.g. Poland were to apply for membership? Do you have a link, any sort of reference?
Europe is 20 times bigger than Ukraine and that hasn't been easy for Russia. I think "will try to invade another European country" might be more believable.
"I am convinced that the next step in escalation will be a small-scale provocation against a Baltic country before the end of the year. He will do it. He just needs to show that Article 5 does not work. His goal is to prove that NATO is dead, and the best way is to display its impotence. He will try it with a limited incursion. I'm not talking about a massive invasion or attacking Poland. He knows that would end very badly for him. But a limited incursion in Estonia or Latvia is another matter."
I'm not "pro-Russia", but here is how Russia was provoked into the Ukraine war:
- NATO’s 1999 expansion into Eastern Europe despite promises not to.
- The 2014 Maidan coup removing pro-Russian President Yanukovych.
- Ukraine’s 2021 bombardment of Donbas separatists.
- NATO’s 2022 plans to admit Ukraine despite promises not to.
- U.S. Biolabs in Ukraine.
None of this is mentioned as context for this new prediction in the article. This is critical context for any objective article about Russia's war plans. Conclusion: this article is not objective.
There's much to say about several of those, but let's focus on one. The first, perhaps. Could you perhaps elaborate? What were these promises, by whom, was it a treaty, did any country promise to veto an application if e.g. Poland were to apply for membership? Do you have a link, any sort of reference?