Actually a pretty good article, unlike most pontifications that get posted here discussing health-related issues via some random blog.
The excess-death numbers are unsettling -- quoted as being equivalent to two major plane crashes per day in North America alone -- and it does appear that the person being interviewed was right about a lot of things early on, despite not working in the medical field.
It states it right there, a reference population calculates age. Quantitative analysis 101 week 6 “reference population”.
, as compared to the expected value or statistical trend during a reference period (typically of five years) or in a reference population. It may typically be measured in percentage points, or in number of deaths per time unit.
And
Mortality displacement is the occurrence of deaths at an earlier time than they would have otherwise occurred, meaning the deaths are displaced from the future into the present, resulting in a changed life expectancy.
Are the posters actually assuming SwissRe does not grasp an aging population is coded in reference population stats? I find that hard to accept.
coronavirus, is not something that just goes away when covid and sars are no longer popular .
a lot of people had better realise corona virus has been on this planet for a long time before us, and is not going away, even if we go extinct.
this virus is gifted with a high variability, and only needs to reassort with an upstart variant like MERS for a nasty rekoning
Actually a pretty good article, unlike most pontifications that get posted here discussing health-related issues via some random blog.
The excess-death numbers are unsettling -- quoted as being equivalent to two major plane crashes per day in North America alone -- and it does appear that the person being interviewed was right about a lot of things early on, despite not working in the medical field.
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Excess death is in excess of avg age of death.
You think you’ve missed what the actuaries at SwissRe havent?
I am not sure "excess death" has anything to do with the average age of death.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Excess_mortality
It states it right there, a reference population calculates age. Quantitative analysis 101 week 6 “reference population”.
, as compared to the expected value or statistical trend during a reference period (typically of five years) or in a reference population. It may typically be measured in percentage points, or in number of deaths per time unit.
And
Mortality displacement is the occurrence of deaths at an earlier time than they would have otherwise occurred, meaning the deaths are displaced from the future into the present, resulting in a changed life expectancy.
Are the posters actually assuming SwissRe does not grasp an aging population is coded in reference population stats? I find that hard to accept.