This is encouraging data, but I think it's worth being cautious about interpreting it as a blanket positive. Yes, new tools create new job categories historically (the internet age proved that)—but the _distribution_ matters enormously.
The workers whose jobs are most exposed to AI displacement often aren't the ones who'll benefit from the new high-skill positions created. Retraining at 40+ is brutal, and regional economies can't pivot overnight. The Vanguard finding is interesting because it shows net job growth, but it doesn't tell us if the same workers are transitioning, or if it's churn.
I'm optimistic AI will create prosperity overall, but we should stop acting like "the market will sort it out" is enough for the people caught in the middle of that transition.
This is encouraging data, but I think it's worth being cautious about interpreting it as a blanket positive. Yes, new tools create new job categories historically (the internet age proved that)—but the _distribution_ matters enormously.
The workers whose jobs are most exposed to AI displacement often aren't the ones who'll benefit from the new high-skill positions created. Retraining at 40+ is brutal, and regional economies can't pivot overnight. The Vanguard finding is interesting because it shows net job growth, but it doesn't tell us if the same workers are transitioning, or if it's churn.
I'm optimistic AI will create prosperity overall, but we should stop acting like "the market will sort it out" is enough for the people caught in the middle of that transition.